Predicting recurrences in patients recently recovered from an episode of non-specific acute low back pain: Development and validation of a multivariable prediction model.

Typical recovery from an acute episode of LBP is favourable with most patients recovering within 12 weeks, but much of the burden attributed to LBP is due to the recurrent nature of the condition. Ideally, clinicians treating LBP would be able to identify individuals at more or less risk of a recurrence. Being able to accurately predict risk of a recurrence would enable clinicians to provide more…