Can Large Language Models Accurately Predict Public Opinion?…

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  • OpenAlex ID W4402466858
  • Type Preprint
  • Language EN
  • Published 05 Sep 2024
  • Source HAL
  • Publisher Centre pour la Communication Scient…
  • Added 12 Sep 2024
  • Updated 25 Oct 2026
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Can Large Language Models Accurately Predict Public Opinion? A Review

Preprint 2024 EN Green

This article reviews the capacity of Large Language Models (LLMs) to accurately predict public opinion. Through a meta-analysis of recent research, we evaluate metrics such as accuracy, correlation, and bias to assess the implications for survey-based social science.Our findings indicate that LLMs demonstrate high accuracy in predicting demographic responses and aligning with survey data, suggesti…

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1 Arnault Pachot —
2 Thierry Petit —

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